Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.7% vs 45.3%). Look for Mittelstadt on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mittelstadt wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.7% vs Boyd 45.8% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 50.2%
Defensive zone
Boyd 68.7%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 59.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Mittelstadt
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mittelstadt
Boyd
Last 5: Mittelstadt 3-2 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Mittelstadt
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
1
Mittelstadt
Boyd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (351)
45.9% (784)
+0.0%
Power Play
47.3% (74)
43.2% (81)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (27)
40.3% (62)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Boyd has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Mittelstadt is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Boyd is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Boyd
Home
47.2% (193)
45.1% (501)
Away
42.9% (259)
45.5% (426)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Boyd
P1
49.0%
45.9%
P2
45.7%
44.6%
P3
38.8%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
44.7%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:14 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |