Casey Mittelstadt vs Trent Frederic
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Trent Frederic holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Frederic 54.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frederic 53.5%
Defensive zone
Frederic 73.6%
Neutral zone
Frederic 71.6%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
1
0
Mittelstadt
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
57.6% (151)
-8.0%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
66.7% (3)
-11.9%
On power play, Frederic has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Frederic is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Frederic
Home
58.7% (92)
55.6% (81)
Away
42.0% (81)
60.3% (73)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Frederic
P1
47.7%
57.7%
P2
48.2%
54.3%
P3
56.7%
60.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |