Casey Mittelstadt vs Tyler Seguin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Mittelstadt on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 45.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.9%
Defensive zone
Seguin 67.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 52.9%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Last 10: Mittelstadt 6-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
6
2
Mittelstadt
Seguin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
5
Mittelstadt
Seguin
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Seguin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,911)
53.7% (8,071)
-8.7%
Power Play
49.8% (660)
55.9% (810)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (96)
49.3% (762)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Mittelstadt is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,898).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Seguin
Home
46.8% (2,314)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
44.4% (2,353)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Seguin
P1
46.7%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
53.3%
P3
44.0%
54.7%
OT
38.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
45.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 12:25 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 04:29 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |