Casey Mittelstadt vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 52.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 63.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 60.4%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 50.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
58.5% (135)
-6.9%
Power Play
60.0% (25)
80.0% (5)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
44.4% (18)
+55.6%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
Home
60.7% (89)
63.7% (91)
Away
43.1% (65)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Karlsson
P1
46.3%
54.4%
P2
52.9%
66.7%
P3
58.6%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
48.0%▼
53.0%
53.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 12:19 | Neutral | William Karlsson |