Casey Mittelstadt vs Yanni Gourde
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Casey Mittelstadt holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mittelstadt 50.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 72.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 71.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Mittelstadt
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (141)
47.2% (687)
+2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
45.0% (20)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.0% (88)
+67.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +67.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mittelstadt shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Mittelstadt
Gourde
Home
58.7% (92)
44.4% (356)
Away
42.0% (81)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Mittelstadt
Gourde
P1
47.7%
42.2%
P2
48.2%
50.0%
P3
56.7%
44.5%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%