Scouting Report
Chris Kreider holds a +19.1% FO% edge overall. Paquette wins 36.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kreider shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 39.7% vs Kreider 49.4% (-19.1%)
Offensive zone
Kreider 81.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kreider 53.8%
Result
Chris Kreider favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Paquette
Kreider
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Kreider
Edge
Even Strength
30.1% (73)
49.6% (125)
-19.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
33.3% (6)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (30)
50.0% (6)
-23.3%
On power play, Paquette has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kreider shoots left. Paquette is 36.5% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Paquette shoots left. Kreider is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Paquette
Kreider
Home
28.1% (32)
45.3% (64)
Away
30.6% (72)
52.1% (73)
By Period
Paquette
Kreider
P1
36.4%
51.1%
P2
27.9%
49.1%
P3
25.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
30.0%
35.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
29.8%
Kreider
44.0%▲
37.5%
48.9%