Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Eller 50.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 53.9%
Defensive zone
Paquette 53.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 51.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Paquette
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Paquette
Eller
Last 10: Paquette 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Paquette
Eller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Paquette
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Paquette
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.0% (10,168)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
52.8% (621)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
46.7% (1,740)
-4.2%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Home / Away
Paquette
Eller
Home
50.2% (1,541)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Paquette
Eller
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
49.9%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
50.2%
OT
20.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 06:34 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 09:04 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:52 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 07:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 14:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 10:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 2 | 02:59 | Neutral | Lars Eller |