Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Paquette 57.8%
Defensive zone
Paquette 77.5%
Neutral zone
Paquette 64.0%
Result
Cedric Paquette favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Paquette
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
10
(16 meetings)
6
10
Paquette
Koivu
Last 10: Paquette 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
5
Paquette
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
5
2
Paquette
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Paquette
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
54.0% (9,465)
-4.3%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
48.9% (1,688)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Koivu has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Paquette
Koivu
Home
50.2% (1,541)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Paquette
Koivu
P1
49.1%
53.5%
P2
49.9%
54.6%
P3
47.5%
54.0%
OT
20.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 10, 2017 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 18:14 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 06:45 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 01:28 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 12:37 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 14:48 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |