Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paquette on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paquette 48.8% vs Smith 50.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Paquette leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 73.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 59.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 64.9%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Paquette
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Paquette
Smith
Last 10: Paquette 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Paquette
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paquette
4
0
Paquette
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paquette
5
1
Paquette
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paquette
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (2,579)
51.6% (5,265)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
51.2% (342)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.5% (426)
45.3% (985)
-2.8%
On power play, Paquette has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Paquette is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,872).
Paquette shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Paquette
Smith
Home
50.2% (1,541)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
47.4% (1,507)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Paquette
Smith
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
49.9%
50.0%
P3
47.5%
51.9%
OT
20.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
47.4%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paquette
28.0%▼
38.5%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 3 | 05:17 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 07:47 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Mar 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 05:43 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 27, 2017 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |
| Feb 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Cedric Paquette |