Chandler Stephenson vs Charlie Coyle
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Coyle 50.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 72.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 55.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 50.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stephenson
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Stephenson
Coyle
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Coyle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Stephenson
Coyle
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
52.3% (853)
-0.3%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
44.4% (63)
+17.7%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
44.5% (191)
-5.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Coyle
Home
53.1% (672)
49.0% (567)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Stephenson
Coyle
P1
54.2%
49.5%
P2
50.7%
49.4%
P3
52.0%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 07:00 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | OT | 04:27 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |