Chandler Stephenson vs Charlie Coyle
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Coyle 50.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 72.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 52.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Stephenson
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stephenson
Coyle
Last 8: Stephenson 5-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Coyle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
3
Stephenson
Coyle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
51.6% (612)
+1.2%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
42.6% (47)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
46.6% (146)
-8.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Stephenson is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Stephenson shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Coyle
Home
52.7% (533)
47.5% (394)
Away
51.9% (441)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Stephenson
Coyle
P1
56.5%
49.6%
P2
51.8%
48.9%
P3
49.7%
52.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | OT | 04:27 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 18:35 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |