Chandler Stephenson vs Evan Rodrigues
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 50.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 53.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Last 10: Stephenson 5-5 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Rodrigues
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Rodrigues
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
2
Stephenson
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
47.8% (651)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
47.2% (72)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
36.8% (68)
+2.7%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Rodrigues
Home
53.1% (672)
47.9% (445)
Away
51.1% (628)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Stephenson
Rodrigues
P1
54.2%
48.3%
P2
50.7%
47.0%
P3
52.0%
44.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | OT | 04:28 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:02 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:24 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:24 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |