Chandler Stephenson vs Gabriel Vilardi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Vilardi 46.4% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 80.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 81.0%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 52.8%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Stephenson
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
1
Stephenson
Vilardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
41.4% (70)
+10.6%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
48.0% (25)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
0.0% (1)
+39.5%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Vilardi
Home
53.1% (672)
40.0% (50)
Away
51.1% (628)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Stephenson
Vilardi
P1
54.2%
48.6%
P2
50.7%
37.1%
P3
52.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |