Chandler Stephenson vs Ivan Barbashev
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +29.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Barbashev 40.8% (+29.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 61.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 94.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 82.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 94.5%
94.5%
5.5%
Stephenson
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Barbashev
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
20.0% (45)
+32.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
42.9% (7)
+19.2%
On even strength, Stephenson has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Barbashev is 24.3% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Barbashev
Home
53.1% (672)
23.1% (26)
Away
51.1% (628)
23.1% (26)
By Period
Stephenson
Barbashev
P1
54.2%
36.4%
P2
50.7%
6.7%
P3
52.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |