Chandler Stephenson vs Jack Finley
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Finley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Finley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Finley 50.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 65.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Stephenson
Finley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stephenson
Finley
Last 5: Stephenson 2-3 Finley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Finley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Finley
0
3
Stephenson
Finley
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Finley
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
50.2% (279)
+1.8%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
50.0% (14)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
51.5% (33)
-12.0%
On power play, Stephenson has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Finley shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Finley is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Finley
Home
53.1% (672)
53.8% (199)
Away
51.1% (628)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Stephenson
Finley
P1
54.2%
52.8%
P2
50.7%
47.5%
P3
52.0%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Finley
62.0%▲
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 19:55 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:52 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jack Finley |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |