Chandler Stephenson vs Jack McBain
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McBain 50.9% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 57.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 51.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Stephenson
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson
McBain
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Stephenson
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Stephenson
McBain
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
52.5% (569)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
42.1% (19)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
36.2% (47)
+3.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. McBain is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McBain
Home
53.1% (672)
52.4% (309)
Away
51.1% (628)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Stephenson
McBain
P1
54.2%
54.0%
P2
50.7%
52.7%
P3
52.0%
46.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 12:09 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |