Chandler Stephenson vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stenlund 50.1%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 81.4%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 68.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Stephenson
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Stephenson
Stenlund
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
0
Stephenson
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
3
Stephenson
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
56.2% (650)
-4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
53.2% (47)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
51.6% (312)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Stenlund
Home
53.1% (672)
56.9% (483)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Stephenson
Stenlund
P1
54.2%
54.2%
P2
50.7%
53.2%
P3
52.0%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |