Chandler Stephenson vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Celebrini 49.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 50.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 80.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 60.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Stephenson
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stephenson
Celebrini
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Celebrini
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
0
Stephenson
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
Stephenson
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
48.3% (717)
+4.5%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
54.9% (91)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
61.9% (21)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Stephenson shoots left. Celebrini is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Celebrini
Home
52.7% (533)
47.3% (412)
Away
51.9% (441)
51.3% (417)
By Period
Stephenson
Celebrini
P1
56.5%
45.6%
P2
51.8%
50.9%
P3
49.7%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |