Chandler Stephenson vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 51.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 80.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Stephenson
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stephenson
Celebrini
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Celebrini
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
5
0
Stephenson
Celebrini
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
2
Stephenson
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
47.8% (993)
+4.2%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
54.1% (111)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
56.0% (25)
-16.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Celebrini
Home
53.1% (672)
48.5% (538)
Away
51.1% (628)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Stephenson
Celebrini
P1
54.2%
48.1%
P2
50.7%
46.8%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 08:14 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:02 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:54 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |