Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Coronato
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Coronato on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coronato shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Coronato 42.2% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 69.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 82.3%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.2%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Stephenson
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stephenson
Coronato
Last 6: Stephenson 3-3 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
1
3
Stephenson
Coronato
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Coronato
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
38.2% (262)
+13.7%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
47.1% (70)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
0.0% (2)
+45.6%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,678).
Stephenson shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Coronato
Home
52.6% (3,827)
39.8% (176)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
39.9% (158)
By Period
Stephenson
Coronato
P1
51.6%
41.9%
P2
52.3%
37.6%
P3
52.9%
38.5%
OT
57.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |