Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.2%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Duchene 51.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 56.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 57.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stephenson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Stephenson
Duchene
Last 6: Stephenson 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Stephenson
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Stephenson
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
51.1% (366)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
61.5% (65)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
16.7% (6)
+22.8%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
53.1% (672)
51.7% (201)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
54.2%
49.0%
P2
50.7%
57.1%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |