Chandler Stephenson vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Duchene 51.0% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 65.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 53.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Stephenson
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
51.4% (177)
+1.4%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
75.0% (8)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
20.0% (5)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (582).
Stephenson shoots left. Duchene is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Duchene
Home
52.7% (533)
48.8% (41)
Away
51.9% (441)
52.3% (149)
By Period
Stephenson
Duchene
P1
56.5%
47.6%
P2
51.8%
62.3%
P3
49.7%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%