Chandler Stephenson vs Matthew Wood
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Wood on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wood shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Wood 44.6% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 66.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 75.1%
Neutral zone
Wood 55.5%
Result
Matthew Wood favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Stephenson
Wood
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Stephenson
Wood
Last 9: Stephenson 4-5 Wood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wood
1
3
Stephenson
Wood
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Wood
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wood
1
2
Stephenson
Wood
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Wood
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
41.2% (136)
+10.8%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
38.5% (13)
+23.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wood shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Wood is 37.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Wood
Home
53.1% (672)
39.7% (73)
Away
51.1% (628)
42.1% (76)
By Period
Stephenson
Wood
P1
54.2%
43.6%
P2
50.7%
48.8%
P3
52.0%
28.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Wood
32.0%▼
40.8%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 1 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Matthew Wood |