Chandler Stephenson vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.3%). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McCarron 52.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 77.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.9%
Neutral zone
McCarron 52.0%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 66.9%
33.1%
66.9%
Stephenson
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
Stephenson
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
52.8% (697)
-0.8%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
18.2% (11)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
52.6% (211)
-13.1%
On power play, Stephenson has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McCarron
Home
53.1% (672)
52.8% (477)
Away
51.1% (628)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Stephenson
McCarron
P1
54.2%
56.2%
P2
50.7%
52.4%
P3
52.0%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |