Chandler Stephenson vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Backlund 49.8% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 73.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 50.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Stephenson
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stephenson
Backlund
Last 6: Stephenson 3-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Stephenson
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
50.5% (944)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
51.5% (66)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
47.1% (297)
-7.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Backlund
Home
53.1% (672)
48.1% (636)
Away
51.1% (628)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Stephenson
Backlund
P1
54.2%
45.4%
P2
50.7%
54.1%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |