Chandler Stephenson vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 55.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 87.8%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 65.3%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
2
Stephenson
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
0
Stephenson
Schmaltz
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Schmaltz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
45.9% (697)
+6.1%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
47.9% (117)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
48.0% (25)
-8.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Schmaltz
Home
53.1% (672)
44.9% (434)
Away
51.1% (628)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Stephenson
Schmaltz
P1
54.2%
41.5%
P2
50.7%
46.7%
P3
52.0%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 14:02 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 07:52 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |