Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 90.0%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 73.1%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
40.5% (190)
+11.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
42.9% (14)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
30.0% (10)
+9.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Buchnevich
Home
53.1% (672)
40.7% (118)
Away
51.1% (628)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Stephenson
Buchnevich
P1
54.2%
42.3%
P2
50.7%
37.5%
P3
52.0%
40.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |