Chandler Stephenson vs Pavel Zacha
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.0%). Look for Stephenson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Zacha 51.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 50.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Stephenson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Stephenson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
53.0% (700)
-1.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
54.1% (109)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
39.2% (74)
+0.3%
On power play, Stephenson has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zacha
Home
53.1% (672)
51.6% (438)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Stephenson
Zacha
P1
54.2%
57.0%
P2
50.7%
48.9%
P3
52.0%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |