Chandler Stephenson vs Ridly Greig
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Greig 51.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 62.7%
Defensive zone
Greig 56.4%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.8%
54.8%
45.2%
Stephenson
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stephenson
Greig
Last 5: Stephenson 3-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Greig
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Stephenson
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Greig
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
51.9% (347)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
66.7% (24)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
44.8% (87)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Greig
Home
53.1% (672)
50.4% (254)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Stephenson
Greig
P1
54.2%
45.9%
P2
50.7%
60.1%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | OT | 01:43 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 06:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |