Chandler Stephenson vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.8% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.1% vs Thomas 52.0% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 52.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 64.3%
Neutral zone
Thomas 53.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Stephenson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stephenson
Thomas
Last 6: Stephenson 2-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Thomas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Stephenson
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (634)
50.1% (539)
+2.7%
Power Play
62.0% (187)
64.0% (86)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
54.0% (100)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Stephenson is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Stephenson shoots left. Thomas is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Thomas
Home
52.7% (533)
52.0% (373)
Away
51.9% (441)
52.6% (352)
By Period
Stephenson
Thomas
P1
56.5%
50.0%
P2
51.8%
55.3%
P3
49.7%
50.9%
OT
50.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
53.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.4%
Thomas
36.0%▼
50.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |