Chandler Stephenson vs Robert Thomas
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 52.2%). Look for Thomas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Thomas 51.9% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 56.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 71.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Stephenson
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Stephenson
Thomas
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
7
Stephenson
Thomas
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Thomas
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
50.3% (652)
+1.7%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
61.5% (104)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
54.2% (120)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Thomas is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Thomas
Home
53.1% (672)
52.0% (400)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.3% (476)
By Period
Stephenson
Thomas
P1
54.2%
49.6%
P2
50.7%
55.4%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:18 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 03:13 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |