Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan Donato
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Donato 47.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 55.8%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 63.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Stephenson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
46.8% (297)
+5.2%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
41.0% (39)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
100.0% (1)
-60.5%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Donato is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Donato
Home
53.1% (672)
45.8% (142)
Away
51.1% (628)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Stephenson
Donato
P1
54.2%
49.5%
P2
50.7%
45.7%
P3
52.0%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |