Chandler Stephenson vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs McLeod 47.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 79.5%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 67.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 67.4%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Stephenson
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stephenson
McLeod
Last 10: Stephenson 7-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
4
0
Stephenson
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
3
2
Stephenson
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
2
Stephenson
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
49.0% (827)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
44.0% (91)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
43.0% (272)
-3.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. McLeod is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Stephenson
McLeod
Home
53.1% (672)
48.5% (619)
Away
51.1% (628)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Stephenson
McLeod
P1
54.2%
52.7%
P2
50.7%
43.9%
P3
52.0%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:23 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:09 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |