Chandler Stephenson vs Sam Carrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Stephenson wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Carrick 52.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 76.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 67.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 50.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Stephenson
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Stephenson
Carrick
Last 10: Stephenson 3-7 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
11
4
Stephenson
Carrick
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
11
Stephenson
Carrick
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
7
Stephenson
Carrick
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
52.2% (2,544)
-0.3%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
61.3% (75)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
50.8% (435)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Stephenson is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,678).
Stephenson shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Carrick
Home
52.6% (3,827)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Stephenson
Carrick
P1
51.6%
51.8%
P2
52.3%
52.3%
P3
52.9%
52.6%
OT
57.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:47 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 15:34 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:55 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |