Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 51.9% vs Steel 49.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 57.2%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 53.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 60.9%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Stephenson
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stephenson
Steel
Last 8: Stephenson 4-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Stephenson
Steel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
1
Stephenson
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (993)
49.3% (383)
+1.7%
Power Play
60.5% (152)
59.1% (22)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (110)
14.3% (7)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Stephenson has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Stephenson is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Stephenson shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Steel
Home
53.3% (634)
49.4% (180)
Away
50.7% (621)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Stephenson
Steel
P1
50.7%
51.9%
P2
51.2%
43.8%
P3
53.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
46.0%▼
54.0%
52.0%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:32 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Sam Steel |