Chandler Stephenson vs Seth Jarvis
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Stephenson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Jarvis 46.3% (+10.9%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 63.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 51.6%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Stephenson
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
42.6% (54)
+9.4%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
33.3% (6)
+28.8%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
40.0% (15)
-0.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Stephenson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (503).
Stephenson shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Jarvis
Home
53.1% (672)
43.6% (39)
Away
51.1% (628)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Stephenson
Jarvis
P1
54.2%
36.0%
P2
50.7%
48.3%
P3
52.0%
36.8%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
23.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.3%