Scouting Report
Tim Washe holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stephenson on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Washe 55.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 52.3%
Defensive zone
Washe 74.6%
Neutral zone
Washe 77.8%
Result
Tim Washe favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Stephenson
Washe
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Stephenson
Washe
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Washe
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
6
1
Stephenson
Washe
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Washe
2
3
Stephenson
Washe
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Washe
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
59.5% (264)
-7.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
100.0% (3)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
40.4% (57)
-0.9%
On power play, Washe has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Washe shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Washe is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Washe
Home
53.1% (672)
61.4% (145)
Away
51.1% (628)
52.5% (179)
By Period
Stephenson
Washe
P1
54.2%
57.4%
P2
50.7%
59.6%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Washe
56.0%▬
55.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 10:15 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 3 | 04:38 | Defensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Tim Washe |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Jan 23, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |