Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Hertl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Hertl 54.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 41-29 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 68.4%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 68.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 66.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Stephenson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
41
(70 meetings)
29
41
Stephenson
Hertl
Last 10: Stephenson 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
12
16
Stephenson
Hertl
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
13
17
Stephenson
Hertl
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
8
Stephenson
Hertl
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
53.9% (8,303)
-2.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
59.2% (1,995)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
46.3% (806)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Hertl is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,962).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Hertl
Home
52.6% (3,827)
55.8% (5,382)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
52.9% (5,722)
By Period
Stephenson
Hertl
P1
51.6%
53.6%
P2
52.3%
54.2%
P3
52.9%
55.3%
OT
57.4%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 19:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 11:30 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |