Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Nosek 48.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 66.9%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 52.0%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Stephenson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Stephenson
Nosek
Last 5: Stephenson 4-1 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
52.0% (102)
+0.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
100.0% (2)
-37.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
29.0% (31)
+10.5%
On power play, Nosek has a +37.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Nosek is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nosek
Home
53.1% (672)
52.0% (50)
Away
51.1% (628)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Stephenson
Nosek
P1
54.2%
45.0%
P2
50.7%
42.0%
P3
52.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |