Chandler Stephenson vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.3% vs Nosek 53.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Stephenson leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 71.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 59.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Stephenson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Stephenson
Nosek
Last 10: Stephenson 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
4
Stephenson
Nosek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
2
0
Stephenson
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (5,809)
54.9% (2,710)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.8% (1,113)
45.8% (48)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (825)
47.2% (428)
-1.6%
On power play, Stephenson has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Stephenson is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (5,069).
Stephenson shoots left. Nosek is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,959).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Nosek
Home
52.6% (3,827)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
52.1% (3,920)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Stephenson
Nosek
P1
51.6%
52.2%
P2
52.3%
54.1%
P3
52.9%
54.7%
OT
57.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.4%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |