Chandler Stephenson vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Chandler Stephenson holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Zegras 37.0% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 54.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 90.1%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 75.7%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Stephenson
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stephenson
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
1
0
Stephenson
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
33.0% (264)
+19.0%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
32.1% (56)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
50.0% (2)
-10.5%
On power play, Stephenson has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Zegras is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Zegras
Home
53.1% (672)
35.3% (173)
Away
51.1% (628)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Stephenson
Zegras
P1
54.2%
33.0%
P2
50.7%
35.7%
P3
52.0%
29.7%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |