Chandler Stephenson vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 56.6%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 61.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 61.8%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Stephenson
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stephenson
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Stephenson
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
58.5% (135)
-6.5%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
80.0% (5)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
44.4% (18)
-4.9%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Karlsson
Home
53.1% (672)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.1% (628)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Stephenson
Karlsson
P1
54.2%
54.4%
P2
50.7%
66.7%
P3
52.0%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |