Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 62.4% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.4% vs Coyle 50.5% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 83.3%
Defensive zone
Coyle 77.2%
Neutral zone
Coyle 79.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 80.4%
19.6%
80.4%
Raty
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Raty
Coyle
Last 5: Raty 0-5 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Raty
Coyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Raty
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Raty
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (505)
52.3% (853)
+7.7%
Power Play
72.7% (22)
44.4% (63)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
62.6% (99)
44.5% (191)
+18.1%
On power play, Raty has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Raty is 62.4% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Raty shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Raty
Coyle
Home
60.2% (354)
49.0% (567)
Away
61.8% (272)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Raty
Coyle
P1
55.7%
49.5%
P2
67.1%
49.4%
P3
59.0%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
61.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
56.0%▼
62.5%
60.9%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |