Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Dvorsky 48.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Dvorsky leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Dvorsky 78.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 78.3%
Neutral zone
Dvorsky 53.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Coyle
Dvorsky
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Coyle
Dvorsky
Last 10: Coyle 5-5 Dvorsky
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Dvorsky
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
3
Coyle
Dvorsky
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dvorsky
0
1
Coyle
Dvorsky
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Dvorsky
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
47.8% (395)
+3.8%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
46.9% (49)
-4.3%
On power play, Dvorsky has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dvorsky shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Dvorsky is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Coyle
Dvorsky
Home
47.5% (394)
47.2% (233)
Away
52.8% (411)
48.3% (211)
By Period
Coyle
Dvorsky
P1
49.6%
50.0%
P2
48.9%
44.2%
P3
52.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
45.8%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Dvorsky
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:44 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Dalibor Dvorsky |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Neutral | Dalibor Dvorsky |