Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs O'Connor 45.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 54.5%
Defensive zone
Coyle 81.3%
Neutral zone
Coyle 70.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Coyle
O'Connor
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Coyle
O'Connor
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 O'Connor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
1
Coyle
O'Connor
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Connor
1
2
Coyle
O'Connor
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
3
1
Coyle
O'Connor
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
O'Connor
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
42.7% (295)
+6.7%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
55.3% (38)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, O'Connor has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Connor shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Coyle shoots right. O'Connor is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Coyle
O'Connor
Home
49.8% (4,865)
45.2% (199)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
43.0% (158)
By Period
Coyle
O'Connor
P1
49.5%
41.9%
P2
48.3%
44.9%
P3
48.8%
46.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
O'Connor
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Drew O'Connor |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Drew O'Connor |