Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Cozens shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Cozens 53.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Cozens leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 56.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 86.8%
Neutral zone
Coyle 66.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 67.9%
67.9%
32.1%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Coyle
Cozens
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
2
Coyle
Cozens
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
2
Coyle
Cozens
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
3
Coyle
Cozens
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
53.2% (634)
-0.9%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
57.7% (97)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
33.3% (6)
+11.2%
On power play, Cozens has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
49.0% (567)
54.8% (383)
Away
52.0% (540)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.5%
56.0%
P2
49.4%
51.2%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
OT
46.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |