Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 48.5%). Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Cozens 48.5% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 28-27 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 58.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 60.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 53.3%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Coyle
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
27
(55 meetings)
28
27
Coyle
Cozens
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
6
7
Coyle
Cozens
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
12
6
Coyle
Cozens
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
10
14
Coyle
Cozens
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (7,898)
49.0% (4,103)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (794)
50.3% (717)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (1,100)
41.0% (439)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Coyle is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,777).
Coyle shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Home / Away
Coyle
Cozens
Home
49.8% (4,865)
48.3% (2,685)
Away
47.9% (4,927)
48.7% (2,574)
By Period
Coyle
Cozens
P1
49.5%
49.1%
P2
48.3%
47.8%
P3
48.8%
48.9%
OT
49.0%
34.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 06:38 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:21 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 12:04 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:08 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |