Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Rodrigues shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Rodrigues 47.1% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 77.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 52.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 65.4%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 65.2%
34.8%
65.2%
Coyle
Rodrigues
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Coyle
Rodrigues
Last 7: Coyle 2-5 Rodrigues
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Rodrigues
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
0
3
Coyle
Rodrigues
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Rodrigues
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
47.8% (651)
+4.5%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
47.2% (72)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
36.8% (68)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rodrigues shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Coyle
Rodrigues
Home
49.0% (567)
47.9% (445)
Away
52.0% (540)
45.4% (346)
By Period
Coyle
Rodrigues
P1
49.5%
48.3%
P2
49.4%
47.0%
P3
52.6%
44.8%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:12 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:11 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:32 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |