Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Malkin 46.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.4%
Defensive zone
Coyle 89.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 74.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Coyle
Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Malkin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
45.7% (219)
+6.6%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
34.6% (26)
+9.8%
On power play, Coyle has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
49.0% (567)
50.4% (113)
Away
52.0% (540)
39.4% (132)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
49.5%
47.7%
P2
49.4%
44.9%
P3
52.6%
40.0%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
35.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |