Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 51.4%). Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Compher 51.3% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 56.8%
Defensive zone
Coyle 51.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.8%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Coyle
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Coyle
Compher
Last 6: Coyle 4-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Coyle
Compher
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
2
0
Coyle
Compher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
53.1% (784)
-0.8%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
54.8% (31)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
36.8% (95)
+7.7%
On power play, Compher has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Coyle
Compher
Home
49.0% (567)
51.3% (452)
Away
52.0% (540)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Coyle
Compher
P1
49.5%
54.9%
P2
49.4%
49.0%
P3
52.6%
50.6%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 17:29 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 10:24 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |