Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Miller 60.3% (-11.1%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 97.0%
Defensive zone
Miller 77.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 92.4%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 86.7%
13.3%
86.7%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Coyle
Miller
Last 10: Coyle 8-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Coyle
Miller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
5
0
Coyle
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
62.0% (582)
-9.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
65.9% (126)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
50.7% (71)
-6.2%
On power play, Miller has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
49.0% (567)
63.0% (416)
Away
52.0% (540)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
49.5%
60.7%
P2
49.4%
63.9%
P3
52.6%
60.2%
OT
46.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 12:47 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 08:57 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |