Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.2% vs Miller 59.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 96.7%
Defensive zone
Miller 65.9%
Neutral zone
Miller 87.5%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Coyle
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Coyle
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
4
0
Coyle
Miller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (612)
61.9% (459)
-10.3%
Power Play
42.6% (47)
66.0% (103)
-23.4%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (146)
46.2% (52)
+0.4%
On power play, Miller has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Coyle is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (609).
Coyle shoots right. Miller is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Coyle
Miller
Home
47.5% (394)
62.5% (280)
Away
52.8% (411)
60.2% (334)
By Period
Coyle
Miller
P1
49.6%
59.2%
P2
48.9%
65.6%
P3
52.0%
59.1%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
45.8%
63.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
50.2%
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
61.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |