Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Coyle on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Coyle wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Eichel 48.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Coyle leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 71.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 74.1%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.1%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Coyle
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Coyle
Eichel
Last 10: Coyle 6-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
3
Coyle
Eichel
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
6
1
Coyle
Eichel
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
3
Coyle
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
48.2% (909)
+4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
55.2% (67)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
41.2% (97)
+3.3%
On power play, Eichel has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Coyle is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (274).
Coyle shoots right. Eichel is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Coyle
Eichel
Home
49.0% (567)
48.0% (564)
Away
52.0% (540)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Coyle
Eichel
P1
49.5%
49.8%
P2
49.4%
48.6%
P3
52.6%
46.7%
OT
46.2%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |