Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 50.5% vs Hughes 39.5% (+14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 53.6%
Defensive zone
Coyle 88.9%
Neutral zone
Coyle 63.2%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Coyle
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (853)
36.7% (305)
+15.6%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
14.3% (7)
+30.1%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (191)
33.3% (6)
+11.2%
On power play, Coyle has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Coyle shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Coyle
Hughes
Home
49.0% (567)
35.8% (159)
Away
52.0% (540)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Coyle
Hughes
P1
49.5%
42.3%
P2
49.4%
28.2%
P3
52.6%
37.2%
Final 5 min
49.1%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:53 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |